Originally Posted by
FireballFarm
This may seem blatantly obvious, but it makes more sense if you think the other way around: A 25% chance of winning also means you have a 75% chance of losing, every single time you face a Champ with an ADIPS. Losing is the expected result. Those odds suck. They intentionally suck.
When you take into account all the Champs beaten in just one or three rounds, when you look at all your level 16+ Champ battles as a whole and not just focus on the ones that take a million rounds to beat, the odds make more sense. Odds prove out over time and many, many, many, many battles. What appears to be rigging and discrepancies is simply how odds shake out. Sometimes you're going to keep landing in that 75% group, over and over and over. And over. Other times it only takes one punch.
I'm not a fan of anecdotal evidence, so I will call this an illustration: last tourney, only one Champ took me more than one round to beat. That one outlier only took me 5 rounds to beat. Average that out with my total Champ battles this tourney, including the stupid Warrior King that held me up for 14 rounds, and the odds make more sense. If I had the exact numbers of total rounds fought against Champs, I bet I even beat the 25% odds, overall, on Champs across the last two tourneys. (I didn't keep track this tourney, but only WK gave me trouble. There was another one I had to fight between 2-4 times, IIRC?)
That's still nowhere close to being enough battles to make a determination on how accurate the given odds are, though- it just illustrates that we, as humans, tend to forget about the swift one and two punch victories and focus on the 20+ rounders. Show me the rosters for the last 6 tourneys and I can tell you exactly which Champs gave me trouble. Heck, I could probably do it for the last 10, and so could most of the folks on this thread. We remember more vividly the stuff that is a royal pain the butt, or the extremes. That focus can make the odds feel wildly inaccurate.
It's intentionally set up with abysmal odds to sell Ultimate Attacks, and also so there is never an unbeatable dragon, no matter how few dragons you have or how low your level (every dragon at any level has at least a 10% chance of beating every other dragon). And mostly to sell Ultimate Attacks. S8 is never going to change it. Cuz $$$.