I think you can make it if you wish the Steed. After the 12 cookies for the Farmhouse the Steed goal* starts. There's still lots of time before the event finishes.. I'm sure you can reach the Steed.
After there's the Cottage/14 cookies and last is the GBmen which is 18cookies. Now that will take awhile! and very very high energy consumption
It's not only the drops that count in your realm.. it's also the milestones you collect along the way. Even if you don't reach the double Gingerbread Men that drops: Permits, Tickets and Spellbound Dew.. you were there with your Steed when you look back.
End Prize seems a Gingerbread Man walker.. as both Gingerbread Men are different.
* the Steeds are earned from doing Adventures in our Castle. No cookies needed.