You are correct.
All this talk about random drops (an equal chance of dropping a shard versus a fragment) brings back memories of my statistics class in college. In an experiment to determine whether I had E.S.P., I had to guess heads or tails for a coin tossed 50 times by another person. A coin toss, just like the shards and fragment drops, has an equal chance of being heads or tails each time.
My results, statistically speaking, were less than 1% due to chance. Did I that mean, then, that I had proved that my E.S.P. abilities had affected the outcome of all those coin toss guesses?
No. You see, I had guessed the coin toss 48 out of 50 times
wrong. My experiment demonstrated that I have a statistically significant amount of
negative E.S.P. Or at least, that's how my professor laughingly interpreted it!
I do wonder when I read these posts, about people who have a billion shards and no fragments, etc. Do they have that same ability I do?